After an 11-3-1 week, we're sitting at 19-9-2. That means if you went out and dropped $100 on each pick I told you to make, you'd be up a grand. Well, technically, you'd probably be up like $900, because Vegas usually takes a cut of winnings too, just to keep the odds in their favor.
Anyway, on to the picks:
NEW ENGLAND -13 over Miami
You know, in '85 when the Bears were looking to go undefeated, it was the Dolphins that beat them to protect their record. Now it's Miami defending another record of theirs against a team trying to break it. Plus, 13 points is a LOT of points to give up to a team that has a very good defense and hasn't given up more than 17 points. But that '85 Dolphins team was a very good team (that should have gone to the Super Bowl), and the Dolphins haven't played an offense worth a damn.
PITTSBURGH -6 over Cleveland
I still think Robblerobbleburger is a quality QB, and will do fine. I still think Cleveland is crap. They kind of remind me of Baltimore, except without good defensive players.
INDIANAPOLIS -9.5 over Oakland
I take back what I said about Collins. He looked BAD last week. Maybe he'll get his head back into it and play to near Gannon level. But Indy's going to be Indy and put points upon points on the board. On a side note, the over/under on this game is 52. Holy cow.
Detroit +7 over ATLANTA
I'm getting suckered into this one. Detroit puts points on the board. They just do. Atlanta's d-line's been getting a lot of press, but it's not how Detroit puts points on the board. Plus, Atlanta's not exactly sporting the high-scoring potential (that they should). I see Atlanta winning, but I see Detroit scoring enough meaningless points in the 4th to cover.
NEW ORLEANS -3 over Tampa Bay
The Saints are once again a crapshoot team. Beat a team they shouldn't have beaten two weeks ago, crap the bed on a team everyone else can beat the following week. Tampa's not strong, man. Chris Simms is a good kid, but he's got almost nothing to throw or hand off to. Are there ANY teams in Florida that score touchdowns?
Giants +3.5 over DALLAS
The G-Men are on a roll, and there's no reason to stop picking them now. They're going to lose to good teams and beat the rest this season, and probably coast to 9-7/10-6 range at this rate. They're better than Dallas though, or at least as good. I'll stay on this bandwagon until told otherwise.
Minnesota -4.5 over HOUSTON
A popular sleeper pick. It's funny, because Houston seems to be playing to the level of their competition, while Minnesota seems to underachieve. Will Houston know how to play? Do they play to Minnesota's potential, or do they play to how they've been playing? Does anyone know how good Minnesota is? Yeah, neither do I. But I'll take 'em anyway, and while we're at it, I don't think it'll be THAT much of a blowout, so take the under (a whopping 50).
Buffalo +7 over JETS
Another popular sleeper pick, but I'm biting on this one. The Jets really aren't that good, and their offense generally does enough to beat a team, and not blow one out. The Jets playbook seems to be more concerned with Pennington's completion percentage than scoring actual points. Plus, Buffalo's one of those weird teams that can sneak up and score 24 points for the hell of it. I can't give the Jets 7 points. I just can't.
SAN DIEGO +3 over Jacksonville
Classic matchup. Team that scores a lot and gives up a lot vs. team that can't score and won't let anyone else do it either. Defense usually drags these battles down, but when the score is 3-2, I'll take the extra 3 points. Especially when they're at home.
Carolina +5.5 over DENVER
Ok, defending NFC Champion vs. mediocre AFC team that could start any one of 7 running backs. I know Carolina hasn't been lighting it up or anything, and I know they're playing in Denver, but it's not like it's snowing there... is it?
SEATTLE -7 over St. Louis
Better known as the "passing of the torch" game. All the pieces are into place now for Seattle. It's tough giving up 7 points against St. Louis, but we're not talking yardage here, and St. Louis can't seem to score more than 2 TDs a game. Granted, Miami would kill for that, but that's besides the point. I think Seattle's going to be really pumped for this game. Their letdown might come next week. Oh, they play New England next week? Maybe they continue rolling. Or maybe they drop this one looking forward to next week. Better move on before I change my mind.
Arizona +1 over SAN FRANCISCO
Just because I have to pick Arizona once this season.
(And games like this are why I have Sunday Ticket.)
Baltimore pick'em over WASHINGTON
I've got no faith in Washington anymore. The Cleveland game killed me. I didn't watch it, but apparently Joe Gibbs has to remember how to coach again. I have faith in Joe - he has been away for quite some time, and unlike retired coaches who still watch games and do commentary or over-analyze their old teams from home, Joe was completely involved in something non-football related. Lay off him, it'll come around.
GREEN BAY -3 over Tennessee
This Tennessee team is in trouble. As much as I was willing to write off the Pack last week, I still think that they'll turn it around at Lambeau on Monday night. It's just something Favre and Green Bay does.
Last week: 11-3-1
Season: 19-9-2